Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1132.148479 1277.311808 1435.985207 1622.623930 1836.558450 2074.590142 2360.152226
2026-01-04 912.462735 1109.823996 1344.222940 1644.550857 2021.151107 2480.387439 3086.793212
2026-01-11 783.813865 1002.871163 1278.108546 1652.155756 2151.569636 2801.455934 3721.079160
2026-01-18 692.595755 922.722248 1225.235757 1656.476906 2262.659366 3095.164719 4343.714947
2026-01-25 635.531419 876.926558 1207.002596 1697.737732 2419.788283 3460.494018 5105.732219
2026-02-01 587.241394 835.704997 1187.481611 1730.440680 2562.788540 3816.128965 5895.408947
2026-02-08 543.651115 795.332791 1162.974776 1749.965998 2684.069505 4148.273329 6688.363622
2026-02-15 506.683215 760.220389 1141.351352 1769.226903 2803.736684 4487.531193 7534.605627
2026-02-22 478.406209 735.046176 1131.419110 1804.084277 2949.791309 4883.285948 8528.483806
2026-03-01 436.861646 684.991648 1077.217800 1760.116759 2957.235179 5042.339443 9117.590895
2026-03-08 397.797035 635.388856 1018.999907 1702.786148 2933.725442 5141.504548 9604.229043
2026-03-15 363.242692 590.265040 964.121141 1645.348761 2902.710711 5221.261302 10060.492808
2026-03-22 351.882034 583.493271 973.891765 1704.057708 3092.451873 5739.032113 11480.569522
2026-03-29 335.490014 566.756541 965.029734 1728.136185 3219.934998 6153.439375 12753.833076
2026-04-05 318.165100 546.863212 948.668496 1736.152191 3316.270176 6516.222497 13970.762677
2026-04-12 301.929433 527.552060 931.574515 1740.718154 3405.489092 6874.080283 15232.287044
2026-04-19 292.377442 519.576946 934.498694 1784.316491 3579.003937 7431.263717 17050.898152
2026-04-26 282.320675 509.819404 933.123903 1818.876698 3736.879861 7973.760057 18926.634641
2026-05-03 271.294119 497.348832 925.433453 1839.512787 3866.494535 8468.569854 20768.208824
2026-05-10 261.032471 485.554881 918.041048 1859.870791 3997.433725 8982.851426 22752.181679
2026-05-17 253.250272 478.005688 918.412386 1896.717054 4169.889659 9618.743148 25183.526366
2026-05-24 237.427045 453.358962 882.269692 1850.241565 4142.154171 9758.257618 26244.042564
2026-05-31 221.428946 427.317382 841.410822 1789.651355 4074.199498 9787.653170 26990.363389